Sitting, Waiting in Isla Mujerees - June 5

Today is June 5, 2016 (10 am CST) and we are sitting in the marina in Isla Mujeres.  We are carefully monitoring the weather as a potential tropical depression or storm forms pretty much over us right now.  We have been monitoring activity with the help of friends in the US mainland for the past couple of days.  We really appreciate any information we can get - so special thanks to Larry and Sean for keeping us updated.  Locally, we are monitoring a few websites and finding windyty to be very helpful.  Below is a screenshot from just a few minutes ago.  This figure is showing surface wind strength and direction.

As you can see, we seem to be just east of the center of this Low pressure zone and fortunately, land effects seem to be buffering us from the worst of the winds.  We are safely tied up in a marina that is very sheltered.  I think  we have a good spot as the Mexican Navy brought a couple of their rescue boats into the marina and tied up next to us last night - surely they know the good spots!....or maybe we should have renewed our visa???

Overnight, we saw squalls with winds around 20 kts and some pretty heavy rain.  This morning, winds are light to calm with showers on and off.  To me, this seems to confirm that the center of the Low is close to us, and based on the figure above, it looks to be over land and just West of us.  The worst of the winds also appear to be east of us, hitting the west end of Cuba - again, thankfully we did not go!  If the model projections are right, we are hoping the worst of this will be past us within 24 hours, and we will remain protected in our spot.  It then looks like it is going to turn NE over the gulf and head towards Tampa area, possibly becoming a tropical depression or storm ("Colin", if it becomes a named storm).

So - we are carefully monitoring things but we believe we are in a good safe spot.  Its looking like we will be here until Tuesday or Wednesday......so I am sure we will find the bars we have missed to date and catch up on a few things.  The pool at the marina is open - as is the bar, and my tab!!

I will update the blog as things develop of change and our plans for the rest of the trip and return home start to shape up.  Right now, safety dictates that "schedule" is at the bottom of our list of priorities.

As a closing note - I just heard a couple of cruisers making plans to head to the "Soggy Peso" at noon - since this has become our favorite watering hole, its sounding like a good plan!